The local ballot
It assigns 305 seats in local constituencies. Lists compete in territories of different sizes; the national outcome is the sum of these local contests. [5]
On 23 September, 15.8 million registered voters are called to renew the House of Representatives. This dossier does not predict a winner. It shows what the two ballots produce, what parties promise–and where the questions begin.
Every voter receives two separate ballots: one for a local list and another for a regional list. Their separate counts together produce the 395 seats in the House of Representatives.
The party finishing first does not automatically receive a majority. Article 47 of the Constitution provides that the King appoints the Head of Government from that party; forming a government then requires a parliamentary majority capable of supporting its programme. [7]
The useful question is therefore not only “who finishes first?” It is also: with how many seats, which partners, and how much room to turn a campaign promise into a budget, a law and finally an outcome?
Select a category to isolate its part of the chamber. This visual explains the election’s architecture; it is not a result or projection.
It assigns 305 seats in local constituencies. Lists compete in territories of different sizes; the national outcome is the sum of these local contests. [5]
It assigns 90 seats across twelve regional constituencies. In 2026 those lists are exclusively made up of women, so the next House will contain at least 90 women. [4]
The cartogram orders regions roughly north to south and sizes circles by their regional seats. It is not a boundary map: positions are indicative and local constituency seats are not included. [5]
The rolls closed on 10 July contain 15,801,162 people: 54% men and 46% women; 55% live in urban areas and 45% in rural areas. [3]
Age reveals a sharper contrast: 18–24-year-olds account for only 4% of registered voters, compared with 29% for people aged 60 and over. This measures neither voting intention nor future turnout. It describes only the registered electorate. [3]
Six programmes, six entry points. We do not score parties: we isolate a proposal or framework, then identify the feasibility question a reader should ask. These are summaries of published announcements–not budget certification or endorsement.
Gradually raise the statutory minimum wage to MAD 5,000 by 2031.
Source for this promiseThe party cites higher tax receipts, growth around 5% and momentum in sectors including tourism.
What timetable, what division of cost between employers and the state, and what effect on formal employment?
Method: a non-exhaustive selection of the most represented or most fully documented parties at publication. Figures are those announced by parties or identified in their programmes. No electoral projection or poll is shown.
What is promised: Gradually raise the statutory minimum wage to MAD 5,000 by 2031.
The stated lever: The party cites higher tax receipts, growth around 5% and momentum in sectors including tourism.
The question to ask: What timetable, what division of cost between employers and the state, and what effect on formal employment?
Source for this promiseWhat is promised: An additional five-year programme costed at MAD 350 billion, including MAD 150 billion for purchasing power.
The stated lever: MAD 300 billion would come from growth and a broader tax base, 40 billion from local authorities and 10 billion from administrative savings.
The question to ask: What happens if the 5% average growth assumption supporting the financing is not reached?
Source for this promiseWhat is promised: Five commitments built around sovereignty, resilience, social justice and trust.
The stated lever: Local production, water security, industrialisation, public services and integrity in public life.
The question to ask: Which commitments can be legally measured from the first finance law?
Source for this promiseWhat is promised: 467 measures, including a 40% corporate-tax rate for monopoly, near-monopoly or oligopoly sectors.
The stated lever: Targeted taxation, public-procurement transparency, electoral reform and direct support for small producers.
The question to ask: What net revenue remains after behavioural changes and disputes over which sectors qualify?
Source for this promiseWhat is promised: 220 commitments and MAD 575 billion in additional spending over five years.
The stated lever: MAD 622 billion in added revenue, assuming 5% real growth and a tax burden rising from 20.8% to 24.1% of GDP.
The question to ask: How much relies on dependable new revenue, and how much on growth that still has to materialise?
Source for this promiseWhat is promised: Twenty commitments for fairer territorial development, employment and a dignified life.
The stated lever: Redistributing the gains from growth and narrowing territorial gaps in education, care and opportunity.
The question to ask: Which territorial indicators, budgets and deadlines will make the outcome measurable?
Source for this promiseThis simulator uses only the official 2021 seat distribution to demonstrate the mechanism. It does not predict 2026. Add or remove parties to see whether a coalition crosses the absolute-majority line. [6]
In 2021 the RNI won 102 seats, PAM 87 and Istiqlal 81. Together they held 270. But a coalition is not mere arithmetic: it also requires a joint programme, cabinet compromises and parliamentary discipline. [6]
A promise never becomes policy automatically. Between the two lie seats, coalition-building, the government programme, budgets, laws and implementation.
During an election, a polished image or precise figure can create an illusion of proof. Open each claim and check what it leaves out.
No. The system is proportional and fragmented. First place determines the party from which the Head of Government is appointed; it does not guarantee an absolute majority.
Constitution, Article 47No. They are allocated among twelve regional constituencies, from 3 seats in Dakhla–Oued Eddahab to 12 in Casablanca–Settat. In 2026 these lists are reserved for women.
Organic law and regional mechanismNo. Until a figure is attributed to the competent authority, it remains an estimate. This dossier will label no 2026 number as a result without an official source and update time.
Official election portalNot in regulated audiovisual coverage: HACA requires clear, permanent and unequivocal identification of explanatory AI content and bans deceptive falsified election content.
HACA Decision 50-26The national identity card is the only official document required to prove identity. The notice showing a polling station is useful but not mandatory. [3]
Each voter receives a local ballot and a regional ballot. The votes are separate and counted independently. [5]
The coalition module currently demonstrates the 2021 baseline. After an official release, it can switch to 2026 seats while retaining the source, timestamp and provisional or final status of every update.
No result is prefilled. Missing data remains missing data–not an invitation to complete the picture with rumour.